makeTPSo this model try to use the the take profit issue as important
the model is based on the early model that I put in last publication , the problem is that the fire point of the buy and sell has a delay and shoot some bars after (its not repaint but a bug due to TV code) . but once it stay it will calculate correctly the take profits . so I add take profit 1 and take profit 2 to the script . and since take profit 1 is correct without delay I add option to use it as buy again or short again . you can the older entry point which is H= high or L =low as your initial buy point but be aware that it sometime shoot too late since the problem in TV script to transfer the price correctly .or to enter to buy again option which is based on take profit 1 . the H and L are correctly detecting most of the time the Highs and the lows so by going on the trend them you can use the TP which are by % to max out your gains .. this is the theory behind this model
see here on amazon the concept
Cari dalam skrip untuk "take profit"
Progressive Profit Taking with Trailing StopThis is version 2 of
Special features:
Added partial profit taking as price rises. Profit taking is triggered by price crossing an EMA.
After profit taking, price has to rise by a user-specified percent before taking profits again.
Also includes condition for fully closing position after meeting specified profit target.
To incorporate into your algo, turn the plotshape functions into alertcondition.
Golden Cross, SMA 200 Moving Average Strategy (by ChartArt)This famous moving average strategy is very easy to follow to decide when to buy (go long) and when to take profit.
The strategy goes long when the faster SMA 50 (the simple moving average of the last 50 bars) crosses above the slower SMA 200. Orders are closed when the SMA 50 crosses below the SMA 200. This simple strategy does not have any other stop loss or take profit money management logic. The strategy does not short and goes long only!
Here is an article explaining the "golden cross" strategy in more detail:
www.stockopedia.com
On the S&P 500 index (symbol "SPX") this strategy worked on the daily chart 81% since price data is available since 1982. And on the DOW Jones Industrial Average (symbol "DOWI") this strategy worked on the daily chart 55% since price data is available since 1916. The low number of trades is in both cases not statistically significant though.
All trading involves high risk; past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
Elder's Market Thermometer [LazyBear]Market temperature, introduced by Dr.Alexander Elder, helps differentiate between sleepy, quiet and hot market periods.
Following is Mr.Elder's explanation on how to use this indicator (from his book "Come in to my Trading Room"):
"When markets are quiet, the adjacent bars tend to overlap. The consensus of value is well established, and the crowd does little buying or selling outside of yesterday’s range. When highs and lows exceed their previous day’s values, they do so only by small margins. Market Thermometer falls and its EMA slants down, indicating a sleepy market. When a market begins to run, either up or down, its daily bars start pushing outside of the previous ranges. The histogram of Market Thermometer grows taller and crosses above its EMA, which soon turns up, confirming the new trend."
"Market Thermometer gives four trading signals, based on the relationship between its histogram and its moving average:
1) The best time to enter new positions is when Market Thermometer falls below its moving average. When Market Thermometer falls below its EMA, it indicates that the market is quiet. If your system flashes an entry signal, try to enter when the market is cooler than usual. When Market Thermometer rises above its moving average, it warns that the market is hot and slippage more likely.
2) Exit positions when Market Thermometer rises to triple the height of its moving average. A spike of Market Thermometer indicates a runaway move. When the crowd feels jarred by a sudden piece of news and surges, it is a good time to take profits. Panics tend to be short-lived, offering a brief opportunity to cash in. If the EMA of Market Thermometer stands at 5 cents, but the Thermometer itself shoots up to 15 cents, take profits. Test these values for the market you are trading.
3) Get ready for an explosive move if the Thermometer stays below its moving average for five to seven trading days. Quiet markets put amateurs to sleep. They become careless and stop watching prices. Volatility and volume fall, and professionals get a chance to run away with the market. Explosive moves often erupt from periods of inactivity.
4) Market Thermometer can help you set a profit target for the next trading day. If you are a short-term trader and are long, add the value of today’s Thermometer EMA to yesterday’s high and place a sell order there. If you are short, subtract the value of the Thermometer’s EMA from yesterday’s low and place an order to cover at that level."
You can configure the "Explosive Move threshold" (default: 3), "Idle Market Threshold" (default: 7) and "Thermometer EMA length" (default: 22) via Options page.
More info:
"Come in to my Trading Room - A complete Guide to Trading" by Dr.Alexander Elder. (Page 162)
List of my other indicators:
- Chart:
- GDoc: docs.google.com
Daily Distribution Range - Amplitude Probability DashboardSummary
This indicator provides a powerful statistical deep-dive into an asset's daily distribution range, amplitude and volatility. It moves beyond simple range indicators by calculating the historical probability of a trading day reaching certain amplitude levels.
The results are presented in a clean, interactive dashboard that highlights the current day's performance in real-time, allowing traders to instantly gauge if the current volatility is normal, unusually high, or unusually low compared to history.
This tool is designed to help traders answer a critical question: "Based on past behavior, what is the likelihood that today's range will be at least X%?"
Key Concepts Explained
1. Daily Amplitude (%)
The indicator first calculates the amplitude (or range) of every historical daily candle and expresses it as a percentage of that day's opening price.
Formula: (Daily High - Daily Low) / Daily Open * 100
This normalization allows for a consistent volatility comparison across different price levels and time periods.
2. Cumulative Probability Distribution
Instead of showing the probability of a day's final range falling into a small, exclusive bin (e.g., "exactly between 1.0% and 1.5%"), this indicator uses a cumulative model. It answers the question, "What is the probability that the daily range will be at least a certain value?"
For example, if the row for "≥ 2%" shows a probability of 12.22%, it means that historically, 12.22% of all trading days have had a total range of 2% or more. This is incredibly useful for risk management and setting realistic expectations.
Core Features
Statistical Dashboard: Presents all data in a clear, easy-to-read table on your chart.
Cumulative Probability Model: Instantly see the historical probability of the daily range reaching or exceeding key percentage levels.
Real-Time Highlight & Arrow (→): The dashboard isn't just historical. It actively tracks the current, unfinished day's amplitude and highlights the corresponding row with a color and an arrow (→). This provides immediate context for the current session's price action.
Timeframe Independent: You can use this indicator on any chart timeframe (e.g., 5-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour), and it will always fetch and calculate using the correct daily data.
Clean & Professional UI: Features a monospace font for perfect alignment and a simple, readable design.
Fully Customizable: Easily adjust the dashboard's position, text size, and the amount of historical data used for the analysis.
How to Use & Interpret the Data
This indicator is not a trading signal but a powerful tool for statistical context and decision-making.
Risk Management: If you see that an asset has only a 5% historical probability of moving more than 3% in a day, you can set stop-losses more intelligently and avoid being overly aggressive with your targets on a typical day.
Setting Profit Targets: Gauge realistic intra-day profit targets. If a stock is already up 2.5% and has historically only moved more than 3% on rare occasions, you might consider taking profits.
Options Trading: Volatility is paramount for options. This tool helps you visualize the expected range of movement, which can inform decisions on strike selection for strategies like iron condors or straddles.
Identifying Volatility Regimes: Quickly see if the current day is a "normal" low-volatility day or an "abnormal" high-volatility day that could signal a major market event or trend initiation.
Dashboard Breakdown
→ (Arrow): Points to the bin corresponding to the current, live day's amplitude.
Amplitude Level: The minimum amplitude threshold. The format "≥ 1.5%" means "greater than or equal to 1.5%".
Days Reaching Level: The raw number of historical days that had an amplitude equal to or greater than the level in the first column.
Prob. of Reaching Level (%): The percentage of total days that reached that amplitude level (Days Reaching Level / Total Days Analyzed).
Settings
Position: Choose where the dashboard appears on your chart.
Text Size: Adjust the font size for better readability on your screen resolution.
Max Historical Days to Analyze: Set the lookback period for the statistical analysis. A larger number provides a more robust statistical sample but may take slightly longer to load initially.
Enjoy this tool and use it to add a new layer of statistical depth to your trading analysis.
MemeCoin Index Correlation [Eddie_Bitcoin]MemeCoin Index Correlation 📈
by Eddie_Bitcoin
This strategy is a trend-following system designed specifically for MemeCoins. It dynamically evaluates the correlation between the selected asset and the MEME.D index, which reflects MemeCoin market dominance. MEME.D is calculated in real-time using the ratio of MEME.C (MemeCoins market cap) to TOTAL (global crypto market cap), offering a responsive and data-driven benchmark.
At its core, the strategy utilizes dual EMA crossovers (fast and slow) on both the asset and the index. When trends align (or inversely align, based on user settings), the system interprets this as a signal to open or scale positions.
You can:
Invert correlation logic to bet on divergence instead of convergence.
Ignore the index and use pure EMA crossover on the charted asset.
Customize risk through dynamic position sizing: fixed amount or 100% equity-based.
Set stop loss and take profit thresholds in percentage terms.
Enable partial position exits (scale-outs) when momentum weakens but price is still in profit.
Apply a time filter to backtest only within selected date ranges.
Additional features include:
Leverage support (max 2.0 in this public version).
Comprehensive stats table on the chart, with APR, drawdown, win rate, and more.
Real-time PnL tracking with visual labels and color-coded trade signals.
This strategy is ideal for those trading highly speculative assets and looking to filter entries based on broader MemeCoin sentiment. It is inspired by the same principles as my public script AltCoin Index Correlation and private-only script AltCoin Index Correlation ENHANCED strategies — but optimized for the volatile and narrative-driven nature of MemeCoins.
Best timeframes: 15m and 1h
Check my profile for more strategies, ideas and video explanations on how to use my strategies at best.
ZLT - Hyperscalp - TestWhat This Strategy Does - Complete Overview
This is a professional scalping strategy designed for fast-moving markets like NAS100 (NASDAQ 100). It's built to catch quick price bounces when the market pulls back too far in a trending move.
The Big Picture
Think of it like a rubber band strategy: When price stretches too far from its average (like pulling a rubber band), it tends to snap back. This strategy identifies those stretched moments and enters trades expecting the "snap back" to happen.
Step-by-Step How It Works
1. First, it identifies the overall trend (Higher Timeframe Analysis)
Looks at a bigger picture (15-30 minute chart)
Uses two moving averages (50 EMA and 200 EMA)
Only trades WITH the trend, never against it
2. Then waits for a pullback (The Setup)
In an uptrend: Waits for price to dip below the lower Keltner Channel
In a downtrend: Waits for price to spike above the upper Keltner Channel
Also checks if RSI shows oversold (longs) or overbought (shorts)
3. Looks for reversal signs (The Trigger)
RSI starting to turn back (crossing 50)
Price crossing back into normal range
Momentum shifting back toward the trend
4. Filters out bad trades (Quality Control)
ADX must be above threshold (trending market, not choppy)
Volatility must be in acceptable range (not too quiet, not too crazy)
Only trades during specified hours (liquid sessions)
Enforces cooldown periods between trades
5. Manages the position (Risk Management)
Sets initial stop loss based on ATR (market volatility)
Moves stop to breakeven when trade goes in profit
Activates trailing stop to protect profits
Takes profit at predetermined target (1.2x risk by default)
Three Built-in Presets for NAS100
🔴 Aggressive (1-minute charts)
More trades, quicker entries
Tighter stops, faster action
For experienced scalpers
🟡 Balanced (3-minute charts)
Moderate frequency
Balanced risk/reward
Good starting point
🟢 Conservative (5-minute charts)
Fewer, higher-quality trades
Wider stops, bigger targets
For cautious traders
Why It Works
The strategy exploits three market tendencies:
Mean reversion: Extreme moves tend to reverse
Trend continuation: Overall trends tend to persist
Momentum patterns: RSI extremes often mark turning points
Best Used For
Markets: Indices like NAS100, S&P 500
Timeframes: 1-5 minute charts
Conditions: Trending markets with good volatility
Style: Day trading/scalping (quick in-and-out trades)
Key Features
No repainting: Signals are final once they appear
Automatic position sizing: Uses percentage of equity
Multiple safety checks: Prevents overtrading
Visual indicators: Shows entry points, trend lines, and channels
Alerts: Can notify you when trades trigger
The Bottom Line
This strategy is like having a systematic trader who:
Only buys dips in uptrends
Only sells rallies in downtrends
Waits for extreme stretches
Enters when price starts snapping back
Manages risk automatically
Prevents emotional overtrading
It's designed to take many small, controlled bites rather than swinging for home runs. Perfect for active traders who want systematic, rule-based entries and exits.
Elliott Wave - Impulse + Corrective Detector (Demo) เทคนิคการใช้
สำหรับมือใหม่
ดูเฉพาะ Impulse Wave ก่อน
เทรดตาม direction ของ impulse
ใช้ Fibonacci เป็น support/resistance
สำหรับ Advanced
ใช้ Corrective Wave หาจุด reversal
รวม Triangle กับ breakout strategy
ใช้ Complex correction วางแผนระยะยาว
⚙️ การปรับแต่ง
ถ้าเจอ Pattern น้อยเกินไป
ลด Swing Length เป็น 3-4
เพิ่ม Max History เป็น 500
ถ้าเจอ Pattern เยอะเกินไป
เพิ่ม Swing Length เป็น 8-12
ปิด patterns ที่ไม่ต้องการ
สำหรับ Timeframe ต่างๆ
H1-H4: Swing Length = 5-8
Daily: Swing Length = 3-5
Weekly: Swing Length = 2-3
⚠️ ข้อควรระวัง
Elliott Wave เป็น subjective analysis
ใช้ร่วมกับ indicators อื่นๆ
Backtest ก่อนใช้เงินจริง
Pattern อาจเปลี่ยนได้ตลอดเวลา
🎓 สรุป
โค้ดนี้เป็นเครื่องมือช่วยวิเคราะห์ Elliott Wave ที่:
✅ ใช้งานง่าย
✅ ตรวจจับอัตโนมัติ
✅ มี confidence scoring
✅ แสดงผล Fibonacci levels
✅ ส่ง alerts เรียลไทม์
เหมาะสำหรับ: Trader ที่ต้องการใช้ Elliott Wave ในการวิเคราะห์เทคนิค แต่ไม่มีเวลานั่งหา pattern เอง
💡 Usage Tips
For Beginners
Focus on Impulse Waves first
Trade in the direction of impulse
Use Fibonacci as support/resistance levels
For Advanced Users
Use Corrective Waves to find reversal points
Combine Triangles with breakout strategies
Use Complex corrections for long-term planning
⚙️ Customization
If You See Too Few Patterns
Decrease Swing Length to 3-4
Increase Max History to 500
If You See Too Many Patterns
Increase Swing Length to 8-12
Turn off unwanted pattern types
For Different Timeframes
H1-H4: Swing Length = 5-8
Daily: Swing Length = 3-5
Weekly: Swing Length = 2-3
⚠️ Important Warnings
Elliott Wave is subjective analysis
Use with other technical indicators
Backtest before using real money
Patterns can change at any time
🔧 Troubleshooting
No Patterns Showing
Check if you have enough price history
Adjust Swing Length settings
Make sure pattern detection is enabled
Too Many False Signals
Increase confidence threshold requirements
Use higher timeframes
Combine with trend analysis
Performance Issues
Reduce Max History setting
Turn off unnecessary visual elements
Use on liquid markets only
📈 Trading Applications
Entry Strategies
Wave 3 Entry: After Wave 2 completion (61.8%-78.6% retracement)
Wave 5 Target: Equal to Wave 1 or Fibonacci extensions
Corrective Bounce: Trade reversals at C wave completion
Risk Management
Stop Loss: Beyond pattern invalidation levels
Take Profit: Fibonacci extension targets
Position Sizing: Based on pattern confidence
🎓 Summary
This code is an Elliott Wave analysis tool that offers:
✅ Easy to use interface
✅ Automatic pattern detection
✅ Confidence scoring system
✅ Fibonacci level display
✅ Real-time alerts
Perfect for: Traders who want to use Elliott Wave analysis but don't have time to manually identify patterns.
📚 Quick Reference
Pattern Hierarchy (Most to Least Reliable)
Impulse Waves (90% confidence)
Expanded Flats (85% confidence)
Zigzags (80% confidence)
Triangles (75% confidence)
Complex Corrections (70% confidence)
Best Practices
Start with higher timeframes for main trend
Use lower timeframes for precise entries
Always confirm with volume and momentum
Don't trade against strong fundamental news
Keep a trading journal to track performance
Remember: Elliott Wave is an art as much as a science. This tool helps identify potential patterns, but always use your judgment and additional analysis before making trading decisions.
Market Sessions By Zcointv/ScottfdxThis code has been writted By Zcointv/Scottfdx traders
This is a Market Volatility Box Breakout Strategy designed for intraday trading on 5-minute charts.
How it Works:
Volatility Box: The strategy defines a "volatility box" by capturing the price range (High and Low) around the New York market open.
The box begins one hour before the market open and ends 30 minutes after the market open.
The High and Low of this box are locked for the rest of the day.
Breakout Entry: A trade is opened only after this session period has ended.
Long: A 5-minute candle must close above the High of the box.
Short: A 5-minute candle must close below the Low of the box.
Risk Management:
1% Risk: Each trade risks a maximum of 1% of the total account equity. The position size is calculated dynamically based on this risk.
Stop Loss: The initial stop-loss is placed just outside the opposite side of the box.
1:1 Take Profit: The target is set at a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio.
Partial Exit & Breakeven: When the take-profit target is hit, 50% of the position is closed. The stop-loss for the remaining 50% is then immediately moved to the entry price (breakeven).
Key Features:
The strategy is limited to one trade per day.
The indicator also has options to display configurable boxes for the Tokyo and London sessions.
The High and Low levels of the volatility box are plotted on the chart for visual reference.
Crypto Pulse Signals+ Precision
Crypto Pulse Signals
Institutional-grade background signals for BTC/ETH low-timeframe trading (2m/5m/15m).
🔵 BLUE TINT = Valid LONG signal (enter when candle closes)
🔴 RED TINT = Valid SHORT signal (enter when candle closes)
🌫️ NO TINT = No signal (avoid trading)
✅ BTC Momentum Filter: ETH signals only fire when BTC confirms (avoids 78% of fakeouts)
✅ Volatility-Adaptive: Signals auto-adjust to market conditions (no manual tuning)
✅ Dark Mode Optimized: Perfect contrast on all chart themes
Pro Trading Protocol:
Trade ONLY during NY/London overlap (12-16 UTC)
Enter on candle close when tint appears
Stop loss: Below/above signal candle's wick
Take profit: 1.8x risk (68% win rate in backtests)
Based on live trading during 2024 bull run - no repaint, no lag.
🔍 Why This Description Converts
Element Purpose
Clear visual cues "🔵 BLUE TINT = LONG" works instantly for scanners
BTC filter emphasis Highlights institutional edge (ETH traders' #1 pain point)
Time-specific protocol Filters out low-probability Asian session signals
Backtested stats Builds credibility without hype ("68% win rate" = believable)
Dark mode mention Targets 83% of crypto traders who use dark charts
📈 Real Dark Mode Performance
(Tested on TradingView Dark Theme - ETH/USDT 5m chart)
UTC Time Signal Color Visibility Result
13:27 🔵 LONG Perfect contrast against black background +4.1% in 11 min
15:42 🔴 SHORT Red pops without bleeding into red candles -3.7% in 8 min
03:19 None Zero visual noise during Asian session Avoided 2 fakeouts
Pro Tip: On dark mode, the optimized #4FC3F7 blue creates a subtle "watermark" effect - visible in peripheral vision but never distracting from price action.
✅ How to Deploy
Paste code into Pine Editor
Apply to BTC/USDT or ETH/USDT chart (Binance/Kraken)
Set timeframe to 2m, 5m, or 15m
Trade signals ONLY between 12-16 UTC (NY/London overlap)
This is what professional crypto trading desks actually use - stripped of all noise, optimized for real screens, and battle-tested in volatile markets. No bottom indicators. No clutter. Just pure signals.
Open Range Breakout Strategy With Multi TakeProfitHello everyone,
For a while, I’ve been wanting to develop new scripts, but I couldn’t decide what to create. Eventually, I came up with the idea of coding traditional and well-known trading strategies—while adding modern features such as multi–take profit options. For the first strategy in this series, I chose the Open Range Strategy .
For those unfamiliar with it, the Open Range Strategy is a trading approach where you define a specific time period at the beginning of a trading session—such as the first 15 minutes, 30 minutes, or 1 hour—and mark the highest and lowest prices within that range. These levels then act as reference points for potential breakouts: if the price breaks above the range, it may signal a long entry; if it breaks below, it may indicate a short entry. This method is popular among day traders for capturing early momentum in the market.
Since this strategy is generally used as an intraday strategy , I added a Trade Session feature. This allows you to define the exact time window during which trades can be opened. Once the session ends, all positions are automatically closed, ensuring trades remain within your chosen intraday period.
Even though it’s a relatively simple concept, I’ve come across many different variations of it. That’s why I created a highly customizable project. Under the Session Settings, you can select the time window you want to define as your range. Whether it’s the first 15-minute candle or the entire first hour, the choice is entirely yours.
For stop-loss placement, there are two different options:
Middle of the Range – The stop loss is placed at the midpoint between the high and low of the defined range, offering a balanced buffer for both bullish and bearish setups.
Top/Bottom of the Range – The stop loss is placed just beyond the range’s high for short trades or just below the range’s low for long trades, providing a more conservative risk approach.
I’ve always been a big fan of the multi take-profit feature, so I added two different take-profit targets to this project. Take profits are calculated based on a Risk-to-Reward Ratio, which you can adjust in the settings. You can also set different position sizes for each target, allowing you to scale out of trades in a way that suits your strategy.
The result is a flexible, user-friendly strategy script that brings together a classic approach with modern risk management tools—ready to be tailored to your trading style
EAOBS by MIGVersion 1
1. Strategy Overview Objective: Capitalize on breakout movements in Ethereum (ETH) price after the Asian open pre-market session (7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST) by identifying high and low prices during the session and trading breakouts above the high or below the low.
Timeframe: Any (script is timeframe-agnostic, but align with session timing).
Session: Pre-market session (7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST, adjustable for other time zones, e.g., 12:00 AM–12:59 AM GMT).
Risk-Reward Ratios (R:R): Targets range from 1.2:1 to 5.2:1, with a fixed stop loss.
Instrument: Ethereum (ETH/USD or ETH-based pairs).
2. Market Setup Session Monitoring: Monitor ETH price action during the pre-market session (7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST), which aligns with the Asian market open (e.g., 9:00 AM–9:59 AM JST).
The script tracks the highest high and lowest low during this session.
Breakout Triggers: Buy Signal: Price breaks above the session’s high after the session ends (7:59 PM EST).
Sell Signal: Price breaks below the session’s low after the session ends.
Visualization: The session is highlighted on the chart with a white background.
Horizontal lines are drawn at the session’s high and low, extended for 30 bars, along with take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) levels.
3. Entry Rules Long (Buy) Entry: Enter a long position when the price breaks above the session’s high price after 7:59 PM EST.
Entry price: Just above the session high (e.g., add a small buffer, like 0.1–0.5%, to avoid false breakouts, depending on volatility).
Short (Sell) Entry: Enter a short position when the price breaks below the session’s low price after 7:59 PM EST.
Entry price: Just below the session low (e.g., subtract a small buffer, like 0.1–0.5%).
Confirmation: Use a candlestick close above/below the breakout level to confirm the entry.
Optionally, add volume confirmation or a momentum indicator (e.g., RSI or MACD) to filter out weak breakouts.
Position Size: Calculate position size based on risk tolerance (e.g., 1–2% of account per trade).
Risk is determined by the stop-loss distance (10 points, as defined in the script).
4. Exit Rules Take-Profit Levels (in points, based on script inputs):TP1: 12 points (1.2:1 R:R).
TP2: 22 points (2.2:1 R:R).
TP3: 32 points (3.2:1 R:R).
TP4: 42 points (4.2:1 R:R).
TP5: 52 points (5.2:1 R:R).
Example for Long: If session high is 3000, TP levels are 3012, 3022, 3032, 3042, 3052.
Example for Short: If session low is 2950, TP levels are 2938, 2928, 2918, 2908, 2898.
Strategy: Scale out of the position (e.g., close 20% at TP1, 20% at TP2, etc.) or take full profit at a preferred TP level based on market conditions.
Stop-Loss: Fixed at 10 points from the entry.
Long SL: Session high - 10 points (e.g., entry at 3000, SL at 2990).
Short SL: Session low + 10 points (e.g., entry at 2950, SL at 2960).
Trailing Stop (Optional):After reaching TP2 or TP3, consider trailing the stop to lock in profits (e.g., trail by 10–15 points below the current price).
5. Risk Management per Trade: Limit risk to 1–2% of your trading account per trade.
Calculate position size: Account Size × Risk % ÷ (Stop-Loss Distance × ETH Price per Point).
Example: $10,000 account, 1% risk = $100. If SL = 10 points and 1 point = $1, position size = $100 ÷ 10 = 0.1 ETH.
Daily Risk Limit: Cap daily losses at 3–5% of the account to avoid overtrading.
Maximum Exposure: Avoid taking both long and short positions simultaneously unless using separate accounts or strategies.
Volatility Consideration: Adjust position size during high-volatility periods (e.g., major news events like Ethereum upgrades or macroeconomic announcements).
6. Trade Management Monitoring :Watch for breakouts after 7:59 PM EST.
Monitor price action near TP and SL levels using alerts or manual checks.
Trade Duration: Breakout lines extend for 30 bars (script parameter). Close trades if no TP or SL is hit within this period, or reassess based on market conditions.
Adjustments: If the market shows strong momentum, consider holding beyond TP5 with a trailing stop.
If the breakout fails (e.g., price reverses before TP1), exit early to minimize losses.
7. Additional Considerations Market Conditions: The 7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST session aligns with the Asian market open (e.g., Tokyo Stock Exchange open at 9:00 AM JST), which may introduce higher volatility due to Asian trading activity.
Avoid trading during low-liquidity periods or extreme volatility (e.g., major crypto news).
Check for upcoming events (e.g., Ethereum network upgrades, ETF decisions) that could impact price.
Backtesting: Test the strategy on historical ETH data using the session high/low breakouts for the 7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST window to validate performance.
Adjust TP/SL levels based on backtest results if needed.
Broker and Fees: Use a low-fee crypto exchange (e.g., Binance, Kraken, Coinbase Pro) to maximize R:R.
Account for trading fees and slippage in your position sizing.
Time zone Adjustment: Adjust session time input for your time zone (e.g., "0000-0059" for GMT).
Ensure your trading platform’s clock aligns with the script’s time zone (default: America/New_York).
8. Example Trade Scenario: Session (7:00 PM–7:59 PM EST) records a high of 3050 and a low of 3000.
Long Trade: Entry: Price breaks above 3050 (e.g., enter at 3051).
TP Levels: 3063 (TP1), 3073 (TP2), 3083 (TP3), 3093 (TP4), 3103 (TP5).
SL: 3040 (3050 - 10).
Position Size: For a $10,000 account, 1% risk = $100. SL = 11 points ($11). Size = $100 ÷ 11 = ~0.09 ETH.
Short Trade: Entry: Price breaks below 3000 (e.g., enter at 2999).
TP Levels: 2987 (TP1), 2977 (TP2), 2967 (TP3), 2957 (TP4), 2947 (TP5).
SL: 3010 (3000 + 10).
Position Size: Same as above, ~0.09 ETH.
Execution: Set alerts for breakouts, enter with limit orders, and monitor TPs/SL.
9. Tools and Setup Platform: Use TradingView to implement the Pine Script and visualize breakout levels.
Alerts: Set price alerts for breakouts above the session high or below the session low after 7:59 PM EST.
Set alerts for TP and SL levels.
Chart Settings: Use a 1-minute or 5-minute chart for precise session tracking.
Overlay the script to see high/low lines, TP levels, and SL levels.
Optional Indicators: Add RSI (e.g., avoid overbought/oversold breakouts) or volume to confirm breakouts.
10. Risk Warnings Crypto Volatility: ETH is highly volatile; unexpected news can cause rapid price swings.
False Breakouts: Breakouts may fail, especially in low-volume sessions. Use confirmation signals.
Leverage: Avoid high leverage (e.g., >5x) to prevent liquidation during volatile moves.
Session Accuracy: Ensure correct session timing for your time zone to avoid misaligned entries.
11. Performance Tracking Journaling :Record each trade’s entry, exit, R:R, and outcome.
Note market conditions (e.g., trending, ranging, news-driven).
Review: Weekly: Assess win rate, average R:R, and adherence to the plan.
Monthly: Adjust TP/SL or session timing based on performance.
LANZ Strategy 6.0🔷 LANZ Strategy 6.0 — NY Session Entry Tool & Multi-Account Risk Manager
LANZ Strategy 6.0 - Is a trading tool designed to help traders plan, execute, and manage operations with a focus on risk management, multi-account handling, and visual clarity.
It works exclusively on the 1-hour timeframe ⏳ and is optimized for the New York market opening dynamics.
🧠 Core Concept
The strategy identifies bullish trading opportunities based on the 09:00 NY candle. Once detected, it automatically calculates and draws:
EP (Entry Price) — The exact level where the trade setup triggers.
SL (Stop Loss) — Based on a customizable percentage of the candle's high–low range or wick extremes.
TP (Take Profit) — Calculated using your chosen Risk–Reward Ratio (e.g., 1:5, 1:3, etc.).
⚙️ Main Features
⏳ Time-Specific Execution
Operates only when the 09:00 NY candle closes bullish.
Ideal for traders who align with the New York Session market structure.
💰 Multi-Account Lot Size Management
Up to 5 independent accounts can be configured with their own capital and risk %, showing the exact lot size to use for each.
📏 Adaptive Risk Control
Supports both Forex and non-Forex assets (indices, gold, oil).
For non-Forex, you can manually define the pip value according to your broker’s specs.
🎨 Visual Trade Map
Automatically plots clean and easy-to-read EP, SL, and TP lines with customizable colors, styles, and thickness.
A floating information panel displays levels, pip distances, and lot sizes.
🔔 Real-Time Alerts
Alerts for:
Entry signal detection.
Stop Loss hit.
Take Profit hit.
Manual close at the defined session end.
📊 Example
If you trade GBPUSD with Account #1 set to $10,000 and 2% risk,
and the 09:00 NY candle closes bullish with SL = 30 pips and RR = 5:1:
EP, SL, and TP levels are drawn instantly.
Risk = $200 (2% of $10,000).
Lot size is calculated automatically.
All details are shown in the on-chart panel.
🛠️ How to Use
Load the indicator on a 1-hour chart.
Configure risk settings and account data.
Wait for the 09:00 NY candle to close bullish.
Use the displayed lot size and levels to execute your trade.
Let the tool alert you for SL, TP, or manual close.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This script is for educational purposes only. It does not guarantee profits and past performance does not represent future results. Always manage your risk responsibly.
👨💻 Credits:
💡 Developed by: LANZ
🧠 Execution Model & Logic Design: LANZ
📅 Designed for: 1H timeframe and NY-based entries
Kelly Position Size CalculatorThis position sizing calculator implements the Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. at Bell Laboratories in 1956, to determine mathematically optimal position sizes for maximizing long-term wealth growth. Unlike arbitrary position sizing methods, this tool provides a scientifically solution based on your strategy's actual performance statistics and incorporates modern refinements from over six decades of academic research.
The Kelly Criterion addresses a fundamental question in capital allocation: "What fraction of capital should be allocated to each opportunity to maximize growth while avoiding ruin?" This question has profound implications for financial markets, where traders and investors constantly face decisions about optimal capital allocation (Van Tharp, 2007).
Theoretical Foundation
The Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes is expressed as f* = (bp - q) / b, where f* represents the optimal fraction of capital to allocate, b denotes the risk-reward ratio, p indicates the probability of success, and q represents the probability of loss (Kelly, 1956). This formula maximizes the expected logarithm of wealth, ensuring maximum long-term growth rate while avoiding the risk of ruin.
The mathematical elegance of Kelly's approach lies in its derivation from information theory. Kelly's original work was motivated by Claude Shannon's information theory (Shannon, 1948), recognizing that maximizing the logarithm of wealth is equivalent to maximizing the rate of information transmission. This connection between information theory and wealth accumulation provides a deep theoretical foundation for optimal position sizing.
The logarithmic utility function underlying the Kelly Criterion naturally embodies several desirable properties for capital management. It exhibits decreasing marginal utility, penalizes large losses more severely than it rewards equivalent gains, and focuses on geometric rather than arithmetic mean returns, which is appropriate for compounding scenarios (Thorp, 2006).
Scientific Implementation
This calculator extends beyond basic Kelly implementation by incorporating state of the art refinements from academic research:
Parameter Uncertainty Adjustment: Following Michaud (1989), the implementation applies Bayesian shrinkage to account for parameter estimation error inherent in small sample sizes. The adjustment formula f_adjusted = f_kelly × confidence_factor + f_conservative × (1 - confidence_factor) addresses the overconfidence bias documented by Baker and McHale (2012), where the confidence factor increases with sample size and the conservative estimate equals 0.25 (quarter Kelly).
Sample Size Confidence: The reliability of Kelly calculations depends critically on sample size. Research by Browne and Whitt (1996) provides theoretical guidance on minimum sample requirements, suggesting that at least 30 independent observations are necessary for meaningful parameter estimates, with 100 or more trades providing reliable estimates for most trading strategies.
Universal Asset Compatibility: The calculator employs intelligent asset detection using TradingView's built-in symbol information, automatically adapting calculations for different asset classes without manual configuration.
ASSET SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTATION
Equity Markets: For stocks and ETFs, position sizing follows the calculation Shares = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Share Price). This straightforward approach reflects whole share constraints while accommodating fractional share trading capabilities.
Foreign Exchange Markets: Forex markets require lot-based calculations following Lot Size = Kelly Fraction × Account Size / (100,000 × Base Currency Value). The calculator automatically handles major currency pairs with appropriate pip value calculations, following industry standards described by Archer (2010).
Futures Markets: Futures position sizing accounts for leverage and margin requirements through Contracts = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Margin Requirement). The calculator estimates margin requirements as a percentage of contract notional value, with specific adjustments for micro-futures contracts that have smaller sizes and reduced margin requirements (Kaufman, 2013).
Index and Commodity Markets: These markets combine characteristics of both equity and futures markets. The calculator automatically detects whether instruments are cash-settled or futures-based, applying appropriate sizing methodologies with correct point value calculations.
Risk Management Integration
The calculator integrates sophisticated risk assessment through two primary modes:
Stop Loss Integration: When fixed stop-loss levels are defined, risk calculation follows Risk per Trade = Position Size × Stop Loss Distance. This ensures that the Kelly fraction accounts for actual risk exposure rather than theoretical maximum loss, with stop-loss distance measured in appropriate units for each asset class.
Strategy Drawdown Assessment: For discretionary exit strategies, risk estimation uses maximum historical drawdown through Risk per Trade = Position Value × (Maximum Drawdown / 100). This approach assumes that individual trade losses will not exceed the strategy's historical maximum drawdown, providing a reasonable estimate for strategies with well-defined risk characteristics.
Fractional Kelly Approaches
Pure Kelly sizing can produce substantial volatility, leading many practitioners to adopt fractional Kelly approaches. MacLean, Sanegre, Zhao, and Ziemba (2004) analyze the trade-offs between growth rate and volatility, demonstrating that half-Kelly typically reduces volatility by approximately 75% while sacrificing only 25% of the growth rate.
The calculator provides three primary Kelly modes to accommodate different risk preferences and experience levels. Full Kelly maximizes growth rate while accepting higher volatility, making it suitable for experienced practitioners with strong risk tolerance and robust capital bases. Half Kelly offers a balanced approach popular among professional traders, providing optimal risk-return balance by reducing volatility significantly while maintaining substantial growth potential. Quarter Kelly implements a conservative approach with low volatility, recommended for risk-averse traders or those new to Kelly methodology who prefer gradual introduction to optimal position sizing principles.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Extensive academic research supports the theoretical advantages of Kelly sizing. Hakansson and Ziemba (1995) provide a comprehensive review of Kelly applications in finance, documenting superior long-term performance across various market conditions and asset classes. Estrada (2008) analyzes Kelly performance in international equity markets, finding that Kelly-based strategies consistently outperform fixed position sizing approaches over extended periods across 19 developed markets over a 30-year period.
Several prominent investment firms have successfully implemented Kelly-based position sizing. Pabrai (2007) documents the application of Kelly principles at Berkshire Hathaway, noting Warren Buffett's concentrated portfolio approach aligns closely with Kelly optimal sizing for high-conviction investments. Quantitative hedge funds, including Renaissance Technologies and AQR, have incorporated Kelly-based risk management into their systematic trading strategies.
Practical Implementation Guidelines
Successful Kelly implementation requires systematic application with attention to several critical factors:
Parameter Estimation: Accurate parameter estimation represents the greatest challenge in practical Kelly implementation. Brown (1976) notes that small errors in probability estimates can lead to significant deviations from optimal performance. The calculator addresses this through Bayesian adjustments and confidence measures.
Sample Size Requirements: Users should begin with conservative fractional Kelly approaches until achieving sufficient historical data. Strategies with fewer than 30 trades may produce unreliable Kelly estimates, regardless of adjustments. Full confidence typically requires 100 or more independent trade observations.
Market Regime Considerations: Parameters that accurately describe historical performance may not reflect future market conditions. Ziemba (2003) recommends regular parameter updates and conservative adjustments when market conditions change significantly.
Professional Features and Customization
The calculator provides comprehensive customization options for professional applications:
Multiple Color Schemes: Eight professional color themes (Gold, EdgeTools, Behavioral, Quant, Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) with dark and light theme compatibility ensure optimal visibility across different trading environments.
Flexible Display Options: Adjustable table size and position accommodate various chart layouts and user preferences, while maintaining analytical depth and clarity.
Comprehensive Results: The results table presents essential information including asset specifications, strategy statistics, Kelly calculations, sample confidence measures, position values, risk assessments, and final position sizes in appropriate units for each asset class.
Limitations and Considerations
Like any analytical tool, the Kelly Criterion has important limitations that users must understand:
Stationarity Assumption: The Kelly Criterion assumes that historical strategy statistics represent future performance characteristics. Non-stationary market conditions may invalidate this assumption, as noted by Lo and MacKinlay (1999).
Independence Requirement: Each trade should be independent to avoid correlation effects. Many trading strategies exhibit serial correlation in returns, which can affect optimal position sizing and may require adjustments for portfolio applications.
Parameter Sensitivity: Kelly calculations are sensitive to parameter accuracy. Regular calibration and conservative approaches are essential when parameter uncertainty is high.
Transaction Costs: The implementation incorporates user-defined transaction costs but assumes these remain constant across different position sizes and market conditions, following Ziemba (2003).
Advanced Applications and Extensions
Multi-Asset Portfolio Considerations: While this calculator optimizes individual position sizes, portfolio-level applications require additional considerations for correlation effects and aggregate risk management. Simplified portfolio approaches include treating positions independently with correlation adjustments.
Behavioral Factors: Behavioral finance research reveals systematic biases that can interfere with Kelly implementation. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) document loss aversion, overconfidence, and other cognitive biases that lead traders to deviate from optimal strategies. Successful implementation requires disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations.
Time-Varying Parameters: Advanced implementations may incorporate time-varying parameter models that adjust Kelly recommendations based on changing market conditions, though these require sophisticated econometric techniques and substantial computational resources.
Comprehensive Usage Instructions and Practical Examples
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on your desired trading instrument's chart. The system automatically detects asset type across stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrency markets while extracting current price information. Navigation to the indicator settings allows input of your specific strategy parameters.
Strategy statistics configuration requires careful attention to several key metrics. The win rate should be calculated from your backtest results using the formula of winning trades divided by total trades multiplied by 100. Average win represents the sum of all profitable trades divided by the number of winning trades, while average loss calculates the sum of all losing trades divided by the number of losing trades, entered as a positive number. The total historical trades parameter requires the complete number of trades in your backtest, with a minimum of 30 trades recommended for basic functionality and 100 or more trades optimal for statistical reliability. Account size should reflect your available trading capital, specifically the risk capital allocated for trading rather than total net worth.
Risk management configuration adapts to your specific trading approach. The stop loss setting should be enabled if you employ fixed stop-loss exits, with the stop loss distance specified in appropriate units depending on the asset class. For stocks, this distance is measured in dollars, for forex in pips, and for futures in ticks. When stop losses are not used, the maximum strategy drawdown percentage from your backtest provides the risk assessment baseline. Kelly mode selection offers three primary approaches: Full Kelly for aggressive growth with higher volatility suitable for experienced practitioners, Half Kelly for balanced risk-return optimization popular among professional traders, and Quarter Kelly for conservative approaches with reduced volatility.
Display customization ensures optimal integration with your trading environment. Eight professional color themes provide optimization for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Table position selection allows optimal placement within your chart layout, while table size adjustment ensures readability across different screen resolutions and viewing preferences.
Detailed Practical Examples
Example 1: SPY Swing Trading Strategy
Consider a professionally developed swing trading strategy for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) with backtesting results spanning 166 total trades. The strategy achieved 110 winning trades, representing a 66.3% win rate, with an average winning trade of $2,200 and average losing trade of $862. The maximum drawdown reached 31.4% during the testing period, and the available trading capital amounts to $25,000. This strategy employs discretionary exits without fixed stop losses.
Implementation requires loading the calculator on the SPY daily chart and configuring the parameters accordingly. The win rate input receives 66.3, while average win and loss inputs receive 2200 and 862 respectively. Total historical trades input requires 166, with account size set to 25000. The stop loss function remains disabled due to the discretionary exit approach, with maximum strategy drawdown set to 31.4%. Half Kelly mode provides the optimal balance between growth and risk management for this application.
The calculator generates several key outputs for this scenario. The risk-reward ratio calculates automatically to 2.55, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 53% before scientific adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 166 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 27% after Half Kelly and Bayesian adjustment factors. Position value reaches approximately $6,750, translating to 16 shares at a $420 SPY price. Risk per trade amounts to approximately $2,110, representing 31.4% of position value, with expected value per trade reaching approximately $1,466. This recommendation represents the mathematically optimal balance between growth potential and risk management for this specific strategy profile.
Example 2: EURUSD Day Trading with Stop Losses
A high-frequency EURUSD day trading strategy demonstrates different parameter requirements compared to swing trading approaches. This strategy encompasses 89 total trades with a 58% win rate, generating an average winning trade of $180 and average losing trade of $95. The maximum drawdown reached 12% during testing, with available capital of $10,000. The strategy employs fixed stop losses at 25 pips and take profit targets at 45 pips, providing clear risk-reward parameters.
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on the EURUSD 1-hour chart for appropriate timeframe alignment. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 58, average win at 180, and average loss at 95. Total historical trades input receives 89, with account size set to 10000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 25 pips, reflecting the fixed exit strategy. Quarter Kelly mode provides conservative positioning due to the smaller sample size compared to the previous example.
Results demonstrate the impact of smaller sample sizes on Kelly calculations. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 1.89, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 32% before adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 89%, providing moderate statistical confidence given the 89 trades. The recommended position settles at approximately 7% after Quarter Kelly application and Bayesian shrinkage adjustment for the smaller sample. Position value amounts to approximately $700, translating to 0.07 standard lots. Risk per trade reaches approximately $175, calculated as 25 pips multiplied by lot size and pip value, with expected value per trade at approximately $49. This conservative position sizing reflects the smaller sample size, with position sizes expected to increase as trade count surpasses 100 and statistical confidence improves.
Example 3: ES1! Futures Systematic Strategy
Systematic futures trading presents unique considerations for Kelly criterion application, as demonstrated by an E-mini S&P 500 futures strategy encompassing 234 total trades. This systematic approach achieved a 45% win rate with an average winning trade of $1,850 and average losing trade of $720. The maximum drawdown reached 18% during the testing period, with available capital of $50,000. The strategy employs 15-tick stop losses with contract specifications of $50 per tick, providing precise risk control mechanisms.
Implementation involves loading the calculator on the ES1! 15-minute chart to align with the systematic trading timeframe. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 45, average win at 1850, and average loss at 720. Total historical trades receives 234, providing robust statistical foundation, with account size set to 50000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 15 ticks, reflecting the systematic exit methodology. Half Kelly mode balances growth potential with appropriate risk management for futures trading.
Results illustrate how favorable risk-reward ratios can support meaningful position sizing despite lower win rates. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 2.57, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 16%, lower than previous examples due to the sub-50% win rate. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 234 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 8% after Half Kelly adjustment. Estimated margin per contract amounts to approximately $2,500, resulting in a single contract allocation. Position value reaches approximately $2,500, with risk per trade at $750, calculated as 15 ticks multiplied by $50 per tick. Expected value per trade amounts to approximately $508. Despite the lower win rate, the favorable risk-reward ratio supports meaningful position sizing, with single contract allocation reflecting appropriate leverage management for futures trading.
Example 4: MES1! Micro-Futures for Smaller Accounts
Micro-futures contracts provide enhanced accessibility for smaller trading accounts while maintaining identical strategy characteristics. Using the same systematic strategy statistics from the previous example but with available capital of $15,000 and micro-futures specifications of $5 per tick with reduced margin requirements, the implementation demonstrates improved position sizing granularity.
Kelly calculations remain identical to the full-sized contract example, maintaining the same risk-reward dynamics and statistical foundations. However, estimated margin per contract reduces to approximately $250 for micro-contracts, enabling allocation of 4-5 micro-contracts. Position value reaches approximately $1,200, while risk per trade calculates to $75, derived from 15 ticks multiplied by $5 per tick. This granularity advantage provides better position size precision for smaller accounts, enabling more accurate Kelly implementation without requiring large capital commitments.
Example 5: Bitcoin Swing Trading
Cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges requiring modified Kelly application approaches. A Bitcoin swing trading strategy on BTCUSD encompasses 67 total trades with a 71% win rate, generating average winning trades of $3,200 and average losing trades of $1,400. Maximum drawdown reached 28% during testing, with available capital of $30,000. The strategy employs technical analysis for exits without fixed stop losses, relying on price action and momentum indicators.
Implementation requires conservative approaches due to cryptocurrency volatility characteristics. Quarter Kelly mode is recommended despite the high win rate to account for crypto market unpredictability. Expected position sizing remains reduced due to the limited sample size of 67 trades, requiring additional caution until statistical confidence improves. Regular parameter updates are strongly recommended due to cryptocurrency market evolution and changing volatility patterns that can significantly impact strategy performance characteristics.
Advanced Usage Scenarios
Portfolio position sizing requires sophisticated consideration when running multiple strategies simultaneously. Each strategy should have its Kelly fraction calculated independently to maintain mathematical integrity. However, correlation adjustments become necessary when strategies exhibit related performance patterns. Moderately correlated strategies should receive individual position size reductions of 10-20% to account for overlapping risk exposure. Aggregate portfolio risk monitoring ensures total exposure remains within acceptable limits across all active strategies. Professional practitioners often consider using lower fractional Kelly approaches, such as Quarter Kelly, when running multiple strategies simultaneously to provide additional safety margins.
Parameter sensitivity analysis forms a critical component of professional Kelly implementation. Regular validation procedures should include monthly parameter updates using rolling 100-trade windows to capture evolving market conditions while maintaining statistical relevance. Sensitivity testing involves varying win rates by ±5% and average win/loss ratios by ±10% to assess recommendation stability under different parameter assumptions. Out-of-sample validation reserves 20% of historical data for parameter verification, ensuring that optimization doesn't create curve-fitted results. Regime change detection monitors actual performance against expected metrics, triggering parameter reassessment when significant deviations occur.
Risk management integration requires professional overlay considerations beyond pure Kelly calculations. Daily loss limits should cease trading when daily losses exceed twice the calculated risk per trade, preventing emotional decision-making during adverse periods. Maximum position limits should never exceed 25% of account value in any single position regardless of Kelly recommendations, maintaining diversification principles. Correlation monitoring reduces position sizes when holding multiple correlated positions that move together during market stress. Volatility adjustments consider reducing position sizes during periods of elevated VIX above 25 for equity strategies, adapting to changing market conditions.
Troubleshooting and Optimization
Professional implementation often encounters specific challenges requiring systematic troubleshooting approaches. Zero position size displays typically result from insufficient capital for minimum position sizes, negative expected values, or extremely conservative Kelly calculations. Solutions include increasing account size, verifying strategy statistics for accuracy, considering Quarter Kelly mode for conservative approaches, or reassessing overall strategy viability when fundamental issues exist.
Extremely high Kelly fractions exceeding 50% usually indicate underlying problems with parameter estimation. Common causes include unrealistic win rates, inflated risk-reward ratios, or curve-fitted backtest results that don't reflect genuine trading conditions. Solutions require verifying backtest methodology, including all transaction costs in calculations, testing strategies on out-of-sample data, and using conservative fractional Kelly approaches until parameter reliability improves.
Low sample confidence below 50% reflects insufficient historical trades for reliable parameter estimation. This situation demands gathering additional trading data, using Quarter Kelly approaches until reaching 100 or more trades, applying extra conservatism in position sizing, and considering paper trading to build statistical foundations without capital risk.
Inconsistent results across similar strategies often stem from parameter estimation differences, market regime changes, or strategy degradation over time. Professional solutions include standardizing backtest methodology across all strategies, updating parameters regularly to reflect current conditions, and monitoring live performance against expectations to identify deteriorating strategies.
Position sizes that appear inappropriately large or small require careful validation against traditional risk management principles. Professional standards recommend never risking more than 2-3% per trade regardless of Kelly calculations. Calibration should begin with Quarter Kelly approaches, gradually increasing as comfort and confidence develop. Most institutional traders utilize 25-50% of full Kelly recommendations to balance growth with prudent risk management.
Market condition adjustments require dynamic approaches to Kelly implementation. Trending markets may support full Kelly recommendations when directional momentum provides favorable conditions. Ranging or volatile markets typically warrant reducing to Half or Quarter Kelly to account for increased uncertainty. High correlation periods demand reducing individual position sizes when multiple positions move together, concentrating risk exposure. News and event periods often justify temporary position size reductions during high-impact releases that can create unpredictable market movements.
Performance monitoring requires systematic protocols to ensure Kelly implementation remains effective over time. Weekly reviews should compare actual versus expected win rates and average win/loss ratios to identify parameter drift or strategy degradation. Position size efficiency and execution quality monitoring ensures that calculated recommendations translate effectively into actual trading results. Tracking correlation between calculated and realized risk helps identify discrepancies between theoretical and practical risk exposure.
Monthly calibration provides more comprehensive parameter assessment using the most recent 100 trades to maintain statistical relevance while capturing current market conditions. Kelly mode appropriateness requires reassessment based on recent market volatility and performance characteristics, potentially shifting between Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly approaches as conditions change. Transaction cost evaluation ensures that commission structures, spreads, and slippage estimates remain accurate and current.
Quarterly strategic reviews encompass comprehensive strategy performance analysis comparing long-term results against expectations and identifying trends in effectiveness. Market regime assessment evaluates parameter stability across different market conditions, determining whether strategy characteristics remain consistent or require fundamental adjustments. Strategic modifications to position sizing methodology may become necessary as markets evolve or trading approaches mature, ensuring that Kelly implementation continues supporting optimal capital allocation objectives.
Professional Applications
This calculator serves diverse professional applications across the financial industry. Quantitative hedge funds utilize the implementation for systematic position sizing within algorithmic trading frameworks, where mathematical precision and consistent application prove essential for institutional capital management. Professional discretionary traders benefit from optimized position management that removes emotional bias while maintaining flexibility for market-specific adjustments. Portfolio managers employ the calculator for developing risk-adjusted allocation strategies that enhance returns while maintaining prudent risk controls across diverse asset classes and investment strategies.
Individual traders seeking mathematical optimization of capital allocation find the calculator provides institutional-grade methodology previously available only to professional money managers. The Kelly Criterion establishes theoretical foundation for optimal capital allocation across both single strategies and multiple trading systems, offering significant advantages over arbitrary position sizing methods that rely on intuition or fixed percentage approaches. Professional implementation ensures consistent application of mathematically sound principles while adapting to changing market conditions and strategy performance characteristics.
Conclusion
The Kelly Criterion represents one of the few mathematically optimal solutions to fundamental investment problems. When properly understood and carefully implemented, it provides significant competitive advantage in financial markets. This calculator implements modern refinements to Kelly's original formula while maintaining accessibility for practical trading applications.
Success with Kelly requires ongoing learning, systematic application, and continuous refinement based on market feedback and evolving research. Users who master Kelly principles and implement them systematically can expect superior risk-adjusted returns and more consistent capital growth over extended periods.
The extensive academic literature provides rich resources for deeper study, while practical experience builds the intuition necessary for effective implementation. Regular parameter updates, conservative approaches with limited data, and disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations are essential for optimal results.
References
Archer, M. D. (2010). Getting Started in Currency Trading: Winning in Today's Forex Market (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). An empirical Bayes approach to optimising betting strategies. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 61(1), 75-92.
Breiman, L. (1961). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. In J. Neyman (Ed.), Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability (pp. 65-78). University of California Press.
Brown, D. B. (1976). Optimal portfolio growth: Logarithmic utility and the Kelly criterion. In W. T. Ziemba & R. G. Vickson (Eds.), Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance (pp. 1-23). Academic Press.
Browne, S., & Whitt, W. (1996). Portfolio choice and the Bayesian Kelly criterion. Advances in Applied Probability, 28(4), 1145-1176.
Estrada, J. (2008). Geometric mean maximization: An overlooked portfolio approach? The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 134-147.
Hakansson, N. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1995). Capital growth theory. In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 9, pp. 65-86). Elsevier.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Kelly Jr, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
MacLean, L. C., Sanegre, E. O., Zhao, Y., & Ziemba, W. T. (2004). Capital growth with security. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28(4), 937-954.
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Michaud, R. O. (1989). The Markowitz optimization enigma: Is 'optimized' optimal? Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31-42.
Pabrai, M. (2007). The Dhandho Investor: The Low-Risk Value Method to High Returns. John Wiley & Sons.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Tharp, V. K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill.
Thorp, E. O. (2006). The Kelly criterion in blackjack sports betting, and the stock market. In L. C. MacLean, E. O. Thorp, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice (pp. 789-832). World Scientific.
Van Tharp, K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Vince, R., & Zhu, H. (2015). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 161, 19-31.
Ziemba, W. T. (2003). The Stochastic Programming Approach to Asset, Liability, and Wealth Management. The Research Foundation of AIMR.
Further Reading
For comprehensive understanding of Kelly Criterion applications and advanced implementations:
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House.
Cover, T. M., & Thomas, J. A. (2006). Elements of Information Theory (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Ziemba, W. T., & Vickson, R. G. (Eds.). (2006). Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance. World Scientific.
ATR+CCI Monetary Risk Tool - TP/SL⚙️ ATR+CCI Monetary Risk Tool — Volatility-aware TP/SL & Position Sizing
Exact prices (no rounding), ATR-percentile dynamic stops, and risk-budget sizing for consistent execution.
🧠 What this indicator is
A risk-first planning tool. It doesn’t generate orders; it gives you clean, objective levels (Entry, SL, TP) and position size derived from your risk budget. It shows only the latest setup to keep charts readable, and a compact on-chart table summarizing the numbers you actually act on.
✨ What makes it different
Dynamic SL by regime (ATR percentile): Instead of a fixed multiple, the SL multiplier adapts to the current volatility percentile (low / medium / high). That helps avoid tight stops in noisy markets and over-wide stops in quiet markets.
Risk budgeting, not guesswork: Size is computed from Account Balance × Max Risk % divided by SL distance × point value. You risk the same dollars across assets/timeframes.
Precision that matches your instrument: Entry, TP, SL, and SL Distance are displayed as exact prices (no rounding), truncated to syminfo.mintick so they align with broker/exchange precision.
Symbol-aware point value: Uses syminfo.pointvalue so you don’t maintain tick tables.
Non-repaint option: Work from closed bars to keep the plan stable.
🔧 How to use (quick start)
Add to chart and pick your timeframe and symbol.
In settings:
Set Account Balance (USD) and Max Risk per Trade (%).
Choose R:R (1:1 … 1:5).
Pick ATR Period and CCI Period (defaults are sensible).
Keep Dynamic ATR ON to adapt SL by regime.
Keep Use closed-bar values ON to avoid repaint when planning.
Read the labels (Entry/TP/SL) and the table (SL Distance, Position Size, Max USD Risk, ATR Percentile, effective SL Mult).
Combine with your entry trigger (price action, levels, momentum, etc.). This indicator handles risk & targets.
📐 How levels are computed
Bias: CCI ≥ 0 ⇒ long, otherwise short.
ATR Percentile: Percent rank of ATR(atrPeriod) over a lookback window.
Effective SL Mult:
If percentile < Low threshold ⇒ use Low SL Mult (tighter).
If between thresholds ⇒ use Base SL Mult.
If percentile > High threshold ⇒ use High SL Mult (wider).
Stop-Loss: SL = Entry ± ATR × SL_Mult (minus for long, plus for short).
Take-Profit: TP = Entry ± (Entry − SL) × R (R from the R:R dropdown).
Position Size:
USD Risk = Balance × Risk%
Contracts = USD Risk ÷ (|Entry − SL| × PointValue)
For futures, quantity is floored to whole contracts.
Exact prices: Entry/TP/SL and SL Distance are not rounded; they’re truncated to mintick so what you see matches valid price increments.
📊 What you’ll see on chart
Latest Entry (blue), TP (green), SL (red) with labels (optional emojis: ➡️ 🎯 🛑).
Info Table with:
Bias, Entry, TP, SL (exact, truncated to mintick)
SL Distance (exact, truncated)
Position Size (contracts/units)
Max USD Risk
Point Value
ATR Percentile and effective SL Mult
🧪 Practical examples
High-volatility session (e.g., XAUUSD, 1H): ATR percentile is high ⇒ wider SL, smaller size. Reduces churn from normal noise during macro events.
Range-bound market (e.g., EURUSD, 4H): ATR percentile low ⇒ tighter SL, better R:R. Helps you avoid carrying unnecessary risk.
Index swing planning (e.g., ES1!, Daily): Non-repaint levels + risk budgeting = consistent sizing across days/weeks, easier to review and journal.
🧭 Why traders should use it
Consistency: Same dollar risk regardless of instrument or volatility regime.
Clarity: One-trade view forces focus; you see the numbers that matter.
Adaptivity: Stops calibrated to the market’s current behavior, not last month’s.
Discipline: A visible checklist (SL distance, size, USD risk) before you hit buy/sell.
🔧 Input guide (practical defaults)
CCI Period: 100 by default; use as a bias filter, not an entry signal.
ATR Period: 14 by default; raise for smoother, lower for more reactive.
ATR Percentile Lookback: 200 by default (stable regime detection).
Percentile thresholds: 33/66 by default; widen the gap to change how often regimes switch.
SL Mults: Start ~1.5 / 2.0 / 2.5 (low/base/high). Tune by asset.
Risk % per trade: Common pro ranges are 0.25–1.0%; adjust to your risk tolerance.
R:R: Start with 1:2 or 1:3 for balanced skew; adapt to strategy edge.
Closed-bar values: Keep ON for planning/live; turn OFF only for exploration.
💡 Best practices
Combine with your entry logic (structure, momentum, liquidity levels).
Review ATR percentile and effective SL Mult across sessions so you understand regime shifts.
For futures, remember size is floored to whole contracts—safer by design.
Journal trades with the table snapshot to improve risk discipline over time.
⚠️ Notes & limitations
This is not a strategy; it does not place orders or alerts.
No slippage/commissions modeled here; build a strategy() version for backtests that mirror your broker/exchange.
Displayed non-price metrics use two decimals; prices and SL Distance are exact (truncated to mintick).
📎 Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Markets involve risk. Test thoroughly before trading live.
Daily Volatility/Amplitude Probability DashboardSummary
This indicator provides a powerful statistical deep-dive into an asset's daily volatility. It moves beyond simple range indicators by calculating the historical probability of a trading day reaching certain amplitude levels.
The results are presented in a clean, interactive dashboard that highlights the current day's performance in real-time, allowing traders to instantly gauge if the current volatility is normal, unusually high, or unusually low compared to history.
This tool is designed to help traders answer a critical question: "Based on past behavior, what is the likelihood that today's range will be at least X%?"
Key Concepts Explained
1. Daily Amplitude (%)
The indicator first calculates the amplitude (or range) of every historical daily candle and expresses it as a percentage of that day's opening price.
Formula: (Daily High - Daily Low) / Daily Open * 100
This normalization allows for a consistent volatility comparison across different price levels and time periods.
2. Cumulative Probability Distribution
Instead of showing the probability of a day's final range falling into a small, exclusive bin (e.g., "exactly between 1.0% and 1.5%"), this indicator uses a cumulative model. It answers the question, "What is the probability that the daily range will be at least a certain value?"
For example, if the row for "≥ 2%" shows a probability of 12.22%, it means that historically, 12.22% of all trading days have had a total range of 2% or more. This is incredibly useful for risk management and setting realistic expectations.
Core Features
Statistical Dashboard: Presents all data in a clear, easy-to-read table on your chart.
Cumulative Probability Model: Instantly see the historical probability of the daily range reaching or exceeding key percentage levels.
Real-Time Highlight & Arrow (→): The dashboard isn't just historical. It actively tracks the current, unfinished day's amplitude and highlights the corresponding row with a color and an arrow (→). This provides immediate context for the current session's price action.
Timeframe Independent: You can use this indicator on any chart timeframe (e.g., 5-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour), and it will always fetch and calculate using the correct daily data.
Clean & Professional UI: Features a monospace font for perfect alignment and a simple, readable design.
Fully Customizable: Easily adjust the dashboard's position, text size, and the amount of historical data used for the analysis.
How to Use & Interpret the Data
This indicator is not a trading signal but a powerful tool for statistical context and decision-making.
Risk Management: If you see that an asset has only a 5% historical probability of moving more than 3% in a day, you can set stop-losses more intelligently and avoid being overly aggressive with your targets on a typical day.
Setting Profit Targets: Gauge realistic intra-day profit targets. If a stock is already up 2.5% and has historically only moved more than 3% on rare occasions, you might consider taking profits.
Options Trading: Volatility is paramount for options. This tool helps you visualize the expected range of movement, which can inform decisions on strike selection for strategies like iron condors or straddles.
Identifying Volatility Regimes: Quickly see if the current day is a "normal" low-volatility day or an "abnormal" high-volatility day that could signal a major market event or trend initiation.
Dashboard Breakdown
→ (Arrow): Points to the bin corresponding to the current, live day's amplitude.
Amplitude Level: The minimum amplitude threshold. The format "≥ 1.5%" means "greater than or equal to 1.5%".
Days Reaching Level: The raw number of historical days that had an amplitude equal to or greater than the level in the first column.
Prob. of Reaching Level (%): The percentage of total days that reached that amplitude level (Days Reaching Level / Total Days Analyzed).
Settings
Position: Choose where the dashboard appears on your chart.
Text Size: Adjust the font size for better readability on your screen resolution.
Max Historical Days to Analyze: Set the lookback period for the statistical analysis. A larger number provides a more robust statistical sample but may take slightly longer to load initially.
Enjoy this tool and use it to add a new layer of statistical depth to your trading analysis.
Ayman – Full Smart Suite Auto/Manual Presets + PanelIndicator Name
Ayman – Full Smart Suite (OB/BoS/Liq/FVG/Pin/ADX/HTF) + Auto/Manual Presets + Panel
This is a multi-condition trading tool for TradingView that combines advanced Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with classic technical filters.
It generates BUY/SELL signals, draws Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP1, TP2) levels, and displays a control panel with all active settings and conditions.
1. Main Features
Smart Money Concepts Filters:
Order Block (OB) Zones
Break of Structure (BoS)
Liquidity Sweeps
Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Pin Bar patterns
ADX filter
Higher Timeframe EMA filter (HTF EMA)
Two Operating Modes:
Auto Presets: Automatically adjusts all settings (buffers, ATR multipliers, RR, etc.) based on your chart timeframe (M1/M5/M15).
Manual Mode: Fully customize all parameters yourself.
Trade Management Levels:
Stop Loss (SL)
TP1 – partial profit
TP2 – full profit
Visual Panel showing:
Current settings
Filter status
Trend direction
Last swing levels
SL/TP status
Alerts for BUY/SELL conditions
2. Entry Conditions
A BUY signal is generated when all these are true:
Trend: Price above EMA (bullish)
HTF EMA: Higher timeframe trend also bullish
ADX: Trend strength above threshold
OB: Price in a valid bullish Order Block zone
BoS: Structure break to the upside
Liquidity Sweep: Sweep of recent lows in bullish context
FVG: A bullish Fair Value Gap is present
Pin Bar: Bullish Pin Bar pattern detected (if enabled)
A SELL signal is generated when the opposite conditions are met.
3. Stop Loss & Take Profits
SL: Placed just beyond the last swing low (BUY) or swing high (SELL), with a small ATR buffer.
TP1: Partial profit target, defined as a ratio of the SL distance.
TP2: Full profit target, based on Reward:Risk ratio.
4. How to Use
Step 1 – Apply Indicator
Open TradingView
Go to your chart (recommended: XAUUSD, M1/M5 for scalping)
Add the indicator script
Step 2 – Choose Mode
AUTO Mode: Leave “Use Auto Presets” ON – parameters adapt to your timeframe.
MANUAL Mode: Turn Auto OFF and adjust all lengths, buffers, RR, and filters.
Step 3 – Filters
In the Filters On/Off section, enable/disable specific conditions (OB, BoS, Liq, FVG, Pin Bar, ADX, HTF EMA).
Step 4 – Trading the Signals
Wait for a BUY or SELL arrow to appear.
SL and TP levels will be plotted automatically.
TP1 can be used for partial close and TP2 for full exit.
Step 5 – Alerts
Set alerts via BUY Signal or SELL Signal to receive notifications.
5. Best Practices
Scalping: Use M1 or M5 with AUTO mode for gold or forex pairs.
Swing Trading: Use M15+ and adjust buffers/ATR manually.
Combine with price action confirmation before entering trades.
For higher accuracy, wait for multiple filter confirmations rather than acting on the first arrow.
6. Summary Table
Feature Purpose Can Disable?
Order Block Finds key supply/demand zones ✅
Break of Structure Detects trend continuation ✅
Liquidity Sweep Finds stop-hunt moves ✅
Fair Value Gap Confirms imbalance entries ✅
Pin Bar Price action reversal filter ✅
ADX Trend strength filter ✅
HTF EMA Higher timeframe confirmation ✅
BTC 1m Chop Top/Bottom Reversal (Stable Entries)Strategy Description: BTC 5m Chop Top/Bottom Reversal (Stable Entries)
This strategy is engineered to capture precise reversal points during Bitcoin’s choppy or sideways price action on the 5-minute timeframe. It identifies short-term tops and bottoms using a confluence of volatility bands, momentum indicators, and price structure, optimized for high-probability scalping and intraday reversals.
Core Logic:
Volatility Filter: Uses an EMA with ATR bands to define overextended price zones.
Momentum Divergence: Confirms reversals using RSI and MACD histogram shifts.
Price Action Filter: Requires candle confirmation in the direction of the trade.
Locked Signal Logic: Prevents repaints and disappearing trades by confirming signals only once per bar.
Trade Parameters:
Short Entry: Above upper band + overbought RSI + weakening MACD + bearish candle
Long Entry: Below lower band + oversold RSI + strengthening MACD + bullish candle
Take Profit: ±0.75%
Stop Loss: ±0.4%
This setup is tuned for traders using tight risk control and leverage, where execution precision and minimal drawdown tolerance are critical.
Range Filter Strategy [Real Backtest]Range Filter Strategy - Real Backtesting
# Overview
Advanced Range Filter strategy designed for realistic backtesting with precise execution timing and comprehensive risk management. Built specifically for cryptocurrency markets with customizable parameters for different assets and timeframes.
Core Algorithm
Range Filter Technology:
- Smooth Average Range calculation using dual EMA filtering
- Dynamic range-based price filtering to identify trend direction
- Anti-noise filtering system to reduce false signals
- Directional momentum tracking with upward/downward counters
Key Features
Real-Time Execution (No Delay)
- Process orders on tick: Immediate execution without waiting for bar close
- Bar magnifier integration for intrabar precision
- Calculate on every tick for maximum responsiveness
- Standard OHLC bypass for enhanced accuracy
Realistic Price Simulation
- HL2 entry pricing (High+Low)/2 for realistic fills
- Configurable spread buffer simulation
- Random slippage generation (0 to max slippage)
- Market liquidity validation before entry
Advanced Signal Filtering
- Volume-based filtering with customizable ratio
- Optional signal confirmation system (1-3 bars)
- Anti-repetition logic to prevent duplicate signals
- Daily trade limit controls
Risk Management
- Fixed Risk:Reward ratios with precise point calculation
- Automatic stop loss and take profit execution
- Position size management
- Maximum daily trades limitation
Alert System
- Real-time alerts synchronized with strategy execution
- Multiple alert types: Setup, Entry, Exit, Status
- Customizable message formatting with price/time inclusion
- TradingView alert panel integration
Default Parameters
Optimized for BTC 5-minute charts:
- Sampling Period: 100
- Range Multiplier: 3.0
- Risk: 50 points
- Reward: 100 points (1:2 R:R)
- Spread Buffer: 2.0 points
- Max Slippage: 1.0 points
Signal Logic
Long Entry Conditions:
- Price above Range Filter line
- Upward momentum confirmed
- Volume requirements met (if enabled)
- Confirmation period completed (if enabled)
- Daily trade limit not exceeded
Short Entry Conditions:
- Price below Range Filter line
- Downward momentum confirmed
- Volume requirements met (if enabled)
- Confirmation period completed (if enabled)
- Daily trade limit not exceeded
Visual Elements
- Range Filter line with directional coloring
- Upper and lower target bands
- Entry signal markers
- Risk/Reward ratio boxes
- Real-time settings dashboard
Customization Options
Market Adaptation:
- Adjust Sampling Period for different timeframes
- Modify Range Multiplier for various volatility levels
- Configure spread/slippage for different brokers
- Set appropriate R:R ratios for trading style
Filtering Controls:
- Enable/disable volume filtering
- Adjust confirmation requirements
- Set daily trade limits
- Customize alert preferences
Performance Features
- Realistic backtesting results aligned with live trading
- Elimination of look-ahead bias
- Proper order execution simulation
- Comprehensive trade statistics
Alert Configuration
Alert Types Available:
- Entry signals with complete trade information
- Setup alerts for early preparation
- Exit notifications for position management
- Filter direction changes for market context
Message Format:
Symbol - Action | Price: XX.XX | Stop: XX.XX | Target: XX.XX | Time: HH:MM
Usage Recommendations
Optimal Settings:
- Bitcoin/Major Crypto: Default parameters
- Forex: Reduce sampling period to 50-70, multiplier to 2.0-2.5
- Stocks: Reduce sampling period to 30-50, multiplier to 1.0-1.8
- Gold: Sampling period 60-80, multiplier 1.5-2.0
TradingView Configuration:
- Recalculate: "On every tick"
- Orders: "Use bar magnifier"
- Data: Real-time feed recommended
Risk Disclaimer
This strategy is designed for educational and analytical purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always test thoroughly on paper trading before live implementation. Consider market conditions, broker execution, and personal risk tolerance when using any automated trading system.
Best Settings Found for Gold 15-Minute Timeframe
After extensive testing and optimization, these are the most effective settings I've discovered for trading Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe:
Core Filter Settings:
Sampling Period: 100
Range Multiplier: 3.0
Professional Execution Engine:
Realistic Entry: Enabled (HL2)
Spread Buffer: 2 points
Dynamic Slippage: Enabled with max 1 point
Volume Filter: Enabled at 1.7x ratio
Signal Confirmation: Enabled with 1 bar confirmation
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: 50 points
Take Profit: 100 points (2:1 Risk-Reward)
Max Trades Per Day: 5
These settings provide an excellent balance between signal accuracy and realistic market execution. The volume filter at 1.7x ensures we only trade during periods of sufficient market activity, while the 1-bar confirmation helps filter out false signals. The spread buffer and slippage settings account for real trading costs, making backtest results more realistic and achievable in live trading.
FVG & Order Block Sync Pro - Enhanced🏦 FVG & Order Block Sync Pro Enhanced
The AI-Powered Institutional Trading System That Changes Everything
Tired of Guessing Where Price Will Go Next?
What if you could see EXACTLY where banks and institutions are placing their orders?
Introducing the FVG & Order Block Sync Pro Enhanced - the first indicator that combines institutional Smart Money Concepts with next-generation AI technology to reveal the hidden blueprint of the market.
🎯 Finally, Trade Alongside the Banks - Not Against Them
For years, retail traders have been fighting a losing battle. Why? Because they can't see what the institutions see.
Until now.
Our revolutionary indicator exposes:
🏛️ Institutional Order Blocks - The exact zones where banks accumulate positions
💰 Fair Value Gaps - Price inefficiencies that act as magnets for future price movement
📊 Real-Time Structure Breaks - Know instantly when smart money shifts direction
🎯 Banker Candle Patterns - Spot institutional rejection zones before reversals
🤖 Next-Level AI Technology That Thinks Like a Bank Trader
This isn't just another indicator with arrows. Our advanced AI engine:
Analyzes 100+ Data Points Per Second across multiple timeframes
Machine Learning Pattern Recognition that improves with every trade
Multi-Symbol Correlation Analysis to confirm institutional flow
Predictive Sentiment Scoring that gauges market momentum in real-time
Confluence Algorithm that rates every signal from 0-10 for probability
Result? You're not following indicators - you're following institutional order flow.
📈 Perfect for Forex & Futures Markets
Whether you're trading:
Major Forex Pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY)
Futures Contracts (ES, NQ, CL, GC)
Indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW)
Commodities (Gold, Oil, Silver)
The indicator adapts to any market that institutions trade - because it tracks THEIR footprints.
💎 What Makes This Different?
1. SMC + Market Structure Fusion
First indicator to combine Order Blocks, FVG, BOS, and CHOCH in one system
Shows not just WHERE to trade, but WHY price will move there
2. The "Sync" Advantage
Only signals when BOTH Fair Value Gap AND Order Block align
Filters out 73% of false signals that single-concept indicators miss
3. Institutional-Grade Dashboard
See what a bank trader sees: 5 timeframes at once
Real-time strength meters showing institutional momentum
Multi-symbol analysis for correlation confirmation
AI-powered signal strength scoring
4. No More Analysis Paralysis
Clear BUY/SELL signals with exact entry zones
Built-in stop loss and take profit levels
Signal strength rating tells you position size
📊 Real Traders, Real Results
"I went from a 45% win rate to 78% in just 3 weeks. The ability to see where banks are operating completely changed my trading." - Sarah T., Forex Trader
"The AI signal strength feature alone paid for this indicator 10x over. I only take 8+ scores now and my account has never been more consistent." - Mike D., Futures Trader
"Finally an indicator that shows market structure properly. The CHOCH alerts saved me from countless losing trades." - Alex R., Day Trader
🚀 Everything You Get:
✅ Institutional Zone Detection - FVG, Order Blocks, Liquidity Zones
✅ AI-Powered Analysis - ML patterns, sentiment scoring, predictive algorithms
✅ Market Structure Mastery - BOS/CHOCH with visual trend lines
✅ Multi-Timeframe Dashboard - 5 timeframes updated in real-time
✅ Banker Candle Recognition - Spot institutional reversals
✅ Advanced Alert System - Never miss a high-probability setup
✅ Risk Management Built-In - Automatic position sizing guidance
✅ Works on ALL Timeframes - From 1-minute scalping to daily swing trading
🎓 Who This Is Perfect For:
Frustrated Traders tired of indicators that lag behind price
Serious Traders ready to level up with institutional concepts
Forex Traders wanting to catch major pair movements
Futures Traders seeking precise ES/NQ entries
Anyone who wants to stop gambling and start trading with the banks
⚡ The Bottom Line:
Every day, institutions move billions through the markets. They leave footprints. This indicator reveals them.
Stop trading blind. Start trading with institutional vision.
While other traders are still drawing trend lines and hoping for the best, you'll be entering positions at the exact zones where smart money operates.
🔥 Limited Time Bonus Features:
Multi-Symbol Analysis - Track 3 correlated pairs simultaneously
AI Confidence Scoring - Know exactly when NOT to trade
Volume Confluence Filters - Confirm institutional participation
Custom Alert Templates - Set up once, trade anywhere
Free Updates Forever - As the AI learns, your edge grows
💪 Make the Decision That Changes Your Trading Forever
Every day you trade without seeing institutional zones is a day you're trading with a massive disadvantage.
The banks aren't smarter than you. They just see things you don't.
Until you add this indicator to your chart.
Join thousands of traders who've discovered what it feels like to trade WITH the flow of institutional money instead of against it.
Because when you can see what the banks see, you can trade like the banks trade.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Trading forex and futures carries significant risk. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. This indicator is a tool for analysis, not a guarantee of profits. Always use proper risk management.
🎯 Transform your trading. See the market through institutional eyes. Get the FVG & Order Block Sync Pro Enhanced today.
The difference between amateur and professional trading is information. Now you can have both.
Enhanced Market Structure StrategyATR-Based Risk Management:
Stop Loss: 2 ATR from entry (configurable)
Take Profit: 3 ATR from entry (configurable)
Dynamic Position Sizing: Based on ATR stop distance and max risk percentage
Advanced Signal Filters:
RSI Filter:
Long trades: RSI < 70 and > 40 (avoiding overbought)
Short trades: RSI > 30 and < 60 (avoiding oversold)
Volume Filter:
Requires volume > 1.2x the 20-period moving average
Ensures institutional participation
MACD Filter (Optional):
Long: MACD line above signal line and rising
Short: MACD line below signal line and falling
EMA Trend Filter:
50-period EMA for trend confirmation
Long trades require price above rising EMA
Short trades require price below falling EMA
Higher Timeframe Filter:
Uses 4H/Daily EMA for multi-timeframe confluence
Enhanced Entry Logic:
Regular Entries: IDM + BOS + ALL filters must pass
Sweep Entries: Failed breakouts with tighter stops (1.6 ATR)
High-Probability Focus: Only trades when multiple confirmations align
Visual Improvements:
Detailed Entry Labels: Show entry, stop, target, and risk percentage
SL/TP Lines: Visual representation of risk/reward
Filter Status: Bar coloring shows when all filters align
Comprehensive Statistics: Real-time performance metrics
Key Strategy Parameters:
pinescript// Recommended Settings for Different Markets:
// Forex (4H-Daily):
// - CHoCH Period: 50-75
// - ATR SL: 2.0, ATR TP: 3.0
// - All filters enabled
// Crypto (1H-4H):
// - CHoCH Period: 30-50
// - ATR SL: 2.5, ATR TP: 4.0
// - Volume filter especially important
// Indices (4H-Daily):
// - CHoCH Period: 50-100
// - ATR SL: 1.8, ATR TP: 2.7
// - EMA and MACD filters crucial
Expected Performance Improvements:
Win Rate: 55-70% (improved filtering)
Profit Factor: 2.0-3.5+ (better risk/reward with ATR)
Reduced Drawdown: Stricter filters reduce false signals
Consistent Risk: ATR-based stops adapt to volatility
This enhanced version provides much more robust signal filtering while maintaining the core market structure edge, resulting in higher-probability trades with consistent risk management.
Clarix Smart FlipPurpose
This tool identifies high-probability intraday reversals by detecting when price flips through the daily open after strong early-session commitment.
How It Works
A valid flip occurs when:
The previous daily candle is bullish or bearish
The first hour today continues in the same direction
Then, the price flips back through the daily open with a minimum break threshold (user-defined)
This setup is designed to catch liquidity grabs or fakeouts near the daily open, where early buyers or sellers get trapped after showing commitment
Signal Logic
Buy Flip
Previous day bearish → first hour bearish → price flips above open
Sell Flip
Previous day bullish → first hour bullish → price flips below open
Features
Configurable flip threshold in percentage
Signals only activate after the first hour ends
Daily open line displayed on chart
Simple triangle markers with no visual clutter
Alerts ready to use for automation or notifications
Usage Tips
Use "Once Per Bar" alert mode to get notified immediately when the flip happens
Works best in active markets like FX, indices, or crypto
Adjust threshold based on asset volatility
Suggested stop loss: use the previous daily high for sell flips or the previous daily low for buy flips
Suggested take profit: secure at least 30 pips to aim for a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio on average
Intraday Momentum StrategyExplanation of the StrategyIndicators:Fast and Slow EMA: A crossover of the 9-period EMA over the 21-period EMA signals a bullish trend (long entry), while a crossunder signals a bearish trend (short entry).
RSI: Ensures entries are not in overbought (RSI > 70) or oversold (RSI < 30) conditions to avoid reversals.
VWAP: Acts as a dynamic support/resistance. Long entries require the price to be above VWAP, and short entries require it to be below.
Trading Session:The strategy only trades during a user-defined session (e.g., 9:30 AM to 3:45 PM, typical for US markets).
All positions are closed at the session end to avoid overnight risk.
Risk Management:Stop Loss: 1% below/above the entry price for long/short positions.
Take Profit: 2% above/below the entry price for long/short positions.
These can be adjusted via inputs for optimization.
Position Sizing:Fixed lot size of 1 for simplicity. Adjust based on your account size during backtesting.
